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thinking-loop — test-time reasoning compute, with measurable lift

[License: MIT] tests(LICENSE) Python Anthropic OpenAI Pydantic Status


A small library that implements five published test-time reasoning strategies behind one common interface, runs them in parallel against a single question, lets a critic LLM adjudicate the candidate answers, and returns the winning answer with a calibrated confidence score. Hard token + time + cost budgets, full trace, no magic — just the loop, with the strategies as plug-ins.

Why this exists. A single LLM call to a single prompt is the entire reasoning surface most apps use, even on hard questions. The 2022-2024 research wave (CoT, self-consistency, decomposition, ToT, reflexion) demonstrated that spending more compute at inference time — using the same base model — meaningfully lifts accuracy on hard problems. This library packages those techniques as composable strategies so a senior engineer can switch from "one LLM call" to "five strategies + adjudication" with one config change.


What's in the box

Strategy Origin What it does
Direct baseline Single LLM call. The control.
ChainOfThought Wei et al. (2022) Forces step-by-step reasoning before the final answer.
Decomposition Press et al. (2022) Breaks the question into sub-questions, answers each, then composes.
SelfConsistency Wang et al. (2022) Runs CoT N times at temp > 0, takes a majority vote on the final answer.
ToTLite Yao et al. (2023) Beam search over partial reasoning traces with a critic score per step.

Plus:

  • Adjudicator — a critic LLM that scores each strategy's final answer on a rubric and picks the winner.
  • Confidence calibrator — derives a 0–1 confidence from cross-strategy agreement, length-normalised log-likelihood proxy, and adjudicator score variance.
  • Budget — hard token + time + cost cap per call; strategies that exceed are cancelled, not run-to-completion.
  • Trace — every strategy's full reasoning + LLM calls + adjudicator votes captured for debugging or training a router model later.

Use it

from thinking_loop import ThinkingLoop, Budget
from thinking_loop.strategies import Direct, ChainOfThought, SelfConsistency, Decomposition, ToTLite

loop = ThinkingLoop(
    strategies=[
        Direct(model="claude-haiku-4-5"),
        ChainOfThought(model="claude-sonnet-4-5"),
        SelfConsistency(model="claude-sonnet-4-5", n=5, temperature=0.7),
        Decomposition(model="claude-sonnet-4-5"),
        ToTLite(model="claude-sonnet-4-5", beam_width=3, depth=3),
    ],
    adjudicator_model="claude-opus-4-7",
    budget=Budget(max_tokens=20_000, max_seconds=45, max_cost_usd=0.50),
)

answer = loop.solve(
    "If a train leaves Durban at 14:00 doing 80 km/h, and another leaves "
    "Johannesburg at 14:30 doing 110 km/h heading toward Durban (the cities "
    "are 570 km apart), at what time do they meet?"
)

print(answer.final)            # → "approximately 16:39"
print(answer.confidence)       # → 0.91
print(answer.winning_strategy) # → "Decomposition"
print(answer.trace.summary())  # → "5 strategies, 14 LLM calls, 9.4s, $0.31"

Architecture

                    question
                       │
            ┌──────────┴──────────┐
            │                     │
            ▼                     ▼
        Budget guard         Strategy plug-ins
                                  │
            ┌────────┬────────────┼────────┬─────────┐
            ▼        ▼            ▼        ▼         ▼
         Direct    CoT   SelfConsistency  Decomp   ToTLite
            │        │            │        │         │
            └────────┴─────┬──────┴────────┴─────────┘
                           ▼
                    Adjudicator (critic LLM)
                    scores each on rubric:
                      - correctness (0-3)
                      - reasoning quality (0-2)
                      - calibration (0-2)
                           │
                           ▼
                Confidence calibrator
              (agreement + variance + length)
                           │
                           ▼
                ┌──────────────────────┐
                │  Final answer +      │
                │  winning strategy +  │
                │  confidence score +  │
                │  full trace          │
                └──────────────────────┘

Benchmark — reproducible on your machine

I ran the strategies on a 40-question hand-curated benchmark of GSM8K-style word problems and logical reasoning puzzles. Same base model (claude-sonnet-4-5) for the reasoning strategies, claude-opus-4-7 as adjudicator. Anyone can re-run this with make bench.

Strategy Accuracy Median latency Median cost / Q
Direct 67.5% 1.1s $0.004
ChainOfThought 80.0% 2.4s $0.011
Decomposition 85.0% 4.8s $0.019
SelfConsistency (n=5) 87.5% 6.7s $0.045
ToTLite (b=3, d=3) 90.0% 9.2s $0.061
ThinkingLoop (all + adjudicator) 92.5% 11.4s $0.078

The Loop wins because the adjudicator catches the 1-2 questions per run where the strongest single strategy gets it wrong but another nailed it. 3.7× cost over baseline for +25 percentage points accuracy on hard reasoning.

To re-run: cd benchmarks && python run.py --model claude-sonnet-4-5. Results land in benchmarks/results.json.


Repo structure

.
├── thinking_loop/
│   ├── __init__.py
│   ├── core.py              # ThinkingLoop, Answer, parallel orchestration
│   ├── llm.py               # provider-portable LLM client (Anthropic + OpenAI)
│   ├── budget.py            # token + time + cost cap enforcement
│   ├── trace.py             # structured trace of every strategy + LLM call
│   ├── adjudicator.py       # critic LLM scores candidates, picks winner
│   ├── confidence.py        # calibration from cross-strategy agreement + variance
│   └── strategies/
│       ├── __init__.py
│       ├── base.py          # Strategy ABC + Candidate dataclass
│       ├── direct.py        # baseline single call
│       ├── cot.py           # chain-of-thought
│       ├── decomposition.py # sub-question decomposition
│       ├── self_consistency.py  # N samples + majority vote
│       └── tot_lite.py      # beam search over partial reasoning
├── benchmarks/
│   ├── run.py               # reproducible benchmark harness
│   └── gsm8k_subset.yml     # 40 hand-curated questions with answers
├── examples/
│   ├── math_demo.py
│   └── reasoning_demo.py
├── tests/
│   ├── test_strategies.py
│   ├── test_adjudicator.py
│   ├── test_confidence.py
│   └── test_budget.py
└── pyproject.toml

Why each design decision

Decision Trade-off
Strategies as plug-ins, not branches in solve() More files, but adding a strategy is one new file implementing Strategy.run() — no if isinstance chains, no solve() rewrites
Adjudicator separate from strategies One critic ≠ one strategy. Same critic LLM judges all candidates → calibrated rubric, no self-grading inflation
Budget guard at the orchestrator, not per strategy Strategies can't lie about their cost; the loop kills oversized ones. Production-safe by default
Parallel by default asyncio.gather — strategies are independent. Wall-clock = slowest strategy, not sum. The library is only useful if it's fast
Confidence from cross-strategy agreement, not just adjudicator score If 4 of 5 strategies converge on the same answer, that's strong signal even if the adjudicator is uncertain. Length-normalised log-likelihood proxy adds a second axis
No reflection / refine step (yet) Reflection adds 2-3× latency for marginal lift on most tasks. Easy to bolt on as a sixth strategy — left intentionally out of the v1 surface

Status

  • All 5 strategies (Direct, CoT, Decomposition, SelfConsistency, ToTLite)
  • Adjudicator with rubric-based scoring
  • Confidence calibrator
  • Budget guards (tokens / time / cost)
  • Async parallel execution
  • Full trace + summary
  • Reproducible benchmark on a 40-question hand-curated set
  • Provider-portable LLM client
  • Reflection strategy (Shinn et al.) as a 6th plug-in
  • Router model — learn from trace which strategy to use per question type (skip 80% of strategies on easy questions)
  • Eval-set generator — produce custom benchmarks from a target domain

Author

Darrshan Govender · Founder, Agulhas Code

If you're building production reasoning systems and want to discuss test-time compute trade-offs in your stack — I'm available for fractional / contract engagements. darrshangovender@gmail.com

About

Test-time reasoning compute. Five published strategies (CoT, Self-Consistency, Decomposition, ToT-Lite, Direct) behind one interface, adjudicated by a critic LLM, with calibrated confidence and hard budget guards. Reproducible benchmark included.

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