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feat: Poisson intervals for data, asymmetric statistical errors and binomial cutflow errors - #44

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@jbeirer jbeirer commented Sep 25, 2026 •

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Summary by CodeRabbit

  • New Features
    • Efficiency and cut-flow results support automatic interval selection, including Clopper–Pearson, normal, Wilson, effective-entry Wilson, and Bayesian intervals.
    • Observed-data plots offer sumw2, Poisson, and automatic error choices. Poisson intervals remain consistent through supported histogram operations, and saved ROOT error options are recognized.
    • Normalization can account for shape uncertainty. Comparisons and plot panels support asymmetric uncertainties and Poisson-ratio intervals.
  • Bug Fixes
    • Binomial interval bounds are reported as undefined, with a warning, when negative event weights make them unreliable.
  • Documentation
    • Expanded guidance and examples explain error choices, interval selection, weighted data, uncertainty correlations, and interval limitations.

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📝 Walkthrough

Walkthrough

This change adds configurable Poisson and efficiency intervals, Bayesian efficiency methods, and shape uncertainty during normalization. Histograms track count provenance and asymmetric errors through supported operations. Comparison and plotting APIs propagate directional errors, and stored ROOT error options are retained.

Changes

Histogram intervals and uncertainty flow

Layer / File(s) Summary
Histogram error models and transformations
src/rootfig/histograms/build.py, src/rootfig/histograms/intervals.py, src/rootfig/histograms/shape.py, src/rootfig/histograms/normalize.py, src/rootfig/histograms/systematics.py
Histograms track count provenance and separate downward and upward statistical errors. Poisson and confidence-level intervals are retained through supported transformations. Normalization adds shape uncertainty and covariance calculations.
Efficiency and cut-flow intervals
src/rootfig/histograms/binomial.py, src/rootfig/histograms/bayesian.py, src/rootfig/histograms/efficiency.py, src/rootfig/histograms/cutflow.py, src/rootfig/api/measures.py, src/rootfig/api/tables.py
Efficiency APIs add confidence-level, frequentist, and Bayesian interval options. Cut-flow intervals use pre-scale weight sums and select intervals per step pair.
Data, stored-histogram, and plotting integration
src/rootfig/api/*, src/rootfig/histograms/pipeline.py, src/rootfig/histograms/stored.py, src/rootfig/histograms/prefetch.py, src/rootfig/io/*, src/rootfig/plotting/*
Data-error selection, normalization options, and variances_from_contents pass through the APIs. ROOT-saved error options are read and applied to eligible histograms. Comparison and plotting paths use asymmetric error pairs, including the poisson-ratio mode.
Documentation and validation
tests/*, docs/*, README.md, CONTRIBUTING.md, examples/gallery/__init__.py, pyproject.toml
Tests cover interval calculations, transformations, data-error selection, and directional plotting. Documentation and examples describe the options, and SciPy is added as a dependency.

Priority: ➖ Normal

Estimated code review effort: 4 (Complex) | ~60 minutes

Change: Feature

Sequence Diagram(s)

sequenceDiagram
  participant PlotAPI
  participant DataErrorSelector
  participant Histogram
  participant Comparison
  participant PlotRenderer
  PlotAPI->>DataErrorSelector: select observed-data error model
  DataErrorSelector->>Histogram: apply or preserve interval model
  Histogram->>Comparison: provide counts and directional errors
  Comparison->>PlotRenderer: provide comparison values and error pairs
  Histogram->>PlotRenderer: provide histogram error pairs
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Merge Risk: 🔵 Low · up to 2497f

Custom-confidence cutflow intervals can be misinterpreted because their docstring still describes a one-sigma level. Correct the documentation; the remaining risk is bounded and does not block merging.

Security Architecture Review

Security architecture risk: 🔵 Low · up to 2497f

The changes affect widely used plotting and data-reading behavior, so a design review is useful. No new file-access route or privilege expansion was identified, but the available evidence does not establish complete security coverage.

Retained concerns
No architecture-level concerns identified.

Security review details

Security Blast Radius

  • inferred — A caller supplying a ROOT file can influence reported statistical errors through that file’s saved option. The inspected change affects numerical results, not the file paths selected or the reader’s authority.

Trust Boundaries and Controls

  • observed — FileSource forwards its stored paths and the variance option to the existing histogram reader. That reader still checks the named object’s histogram type and wraps unusable variance conversion as SourceError.

Resilience and Maintainability Implications

  • observed — Prefetch suppresses read failures so the later consuming read can report them; the changed option remains part of the planned stored-read identity.
🚥 Pre-merge checks | ✅ 4 | ❌ 1

❌ Failed checks (1 warning)

Check name Status Explanation Resolution
Docstring Coverage ⚠️ Warning Docstring coverage is 47.34% which is insufficient. The required threshold is 80.00%. Docstring coverage is scoped to functions touched by this diff. Analyzed 319 functions across 37 files. (4 skipped… Write docstrings for the functions missing them to satisfy the coverage threshold.
✅ Passed checks (4 passed)
Check name Status Explanation
Description Check ✅ Passed Check skipped - CodeRabbit’s high-level summary is enabled.
Title check ✅ Passed The title clearly and concisely summarizes the main changes: Poisson intervals, asymmetric statistical errors, and binomial cutflow errors.
Linked Issues check ✅ Passed Check skipped because no linked issues were found for this pull request.
Out of Scope Changes check ✅ Passed Check skipped because no linked issues were found for this pull request.
Full details: Docstring Coverage

Explanation

Docstring coverage is 47.34% which is insufficient. The required threshold is 80.00%. Docstring coverage is scoped to functions touched by this diff. Analyzed 319 functions across 37 files. (4 skipped: 4 unsupported.)

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codecov Bot commented Sep 25, 2026 •

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Codecov Report

❌ Patch coverage is 98.38524% with 14 lines in your changes missing coverage. Please review.
✅ Project coverage is 97.6%. Comparing base (b05c7bd) to head (a97aeba).
⚠️ Report is 1 commits behind head on main.
✅ All tests successful. No failed tests found.

Files with missing lines Patch % Lines
src/rootfig/api/data.py 25.0% 2 Missing and 1 partial ⚠️
src/rootfig/histograms/build.py 96.9% 2 Missing and 1 partial ⚠️
src/rootfig/histograms/normalize.py 97.8% 1 Missing and 1 partial ⚠️
src/rootfig/histograms/shape.py 93.1% 1 Missing and 1 partial ⚠️
src/rootfig/io/objects.py 89.4% 2 Missing ⚠️
src/rootfig/selection/columns.py 84.6% 1 Missing and 1 partial ⚠️
Additional details and impacted files
@@          Coverage Diff           @@
##            main     #44    +/-   ##
======================================
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======================================
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Flags with carried forward coverage won't be shown. Click here to find out more.

Files with missing lines Coverage Δ
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src/rootfig/api/tables.py 100.0% <ø> (ø)
... and 23 more

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Actionable comments posted: 1


  • 🪄 Fix CodeRabbit comments on this PR
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Inline comments:
In `@src/rootfig/histograms/intervals.py`:
- Around line 56-59: Update the public poisson_interval function to validate
counts immediately after converting them to a NumPy array, rejecting negative,
non-finite, or non-whole values with ValueError before computing interval
bounds. Keep valid non-negative whole counts on the existing calculation path.

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📒 Files selected for processing (22)
  • README.md
  • docs/api.md
  • docs/ecosystem.md
  • docs/plotting.md
  • examples/gallery/__init__.py
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  • src/rootfig/api/measures.py
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Actionable comments posted: 2


  • 🪄 Fix CodeRabbit comments on this PR
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Inline comments:
In `@src/rootfig/api/measures.py`:
- Around line 152-155: Preserve each sample’s factor on the numerator histograms
stored in `passes` by scaling the `from_sample` result with its corresponding
factor. Keep efficiency calculation based on the unscaled `passing` columns,
rather than using the scaled pass histogram, and maintain strict alignment
across samples, passing columns, and factors.

In `@src/rootfig/histograms/build.py`:
- Around line 209-213: Update the Histogram.replace method so that changing hist
without explicitly changing _unit resets _unit to None before calling
dataclasses.replace, allowing __post_init__ to recompute the count scale from
the new histogram. Preserve an explicitly supplied _unit and existing behavior
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  • src/rootfig/histograms/build.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/cutflow.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/efficiency.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/intervals.py
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Actionable comments posted: 1


  • 🪄 Fix CodeRabbit comments on this PR
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Inline comments:
In `@src/rootfig/histograms/cutflow.py`:
- Around line 157-174: Update _errors to consider negative weights in both the
numerator step and its indexed denominator when building the signed mask.
Preserve the binomial condition so signed pairs receive NaN bounds only for
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  • src/rootfig/api/tables.py
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  • src/rootfig/histograms/binomial.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/build.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/cutflow.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/efficiency.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/intervals.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/normalize.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/pipeline.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/stored.py
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⚠️ Outside diff range comments (1)

🟡 Minor · Update the efficiency_errors docstring for the new cl field. · cutflow.py:154-155

src/rootfig/histograms/cutflow.py:154-155
📐 Maintainability & Code Quality | 🟡 Minor | ⚡ Quick win

Update the efficiency_errors docstring for the new cl field.

The docstring still says the errors are "the :attr:interval at one standard deviation". After this change, _errors passes cl=self.cl to efficiency_interval. A Cutflow built with cl=0.95 therefore returns 95 % intervals, and the docstring gives the wrong level. State that the interval is computed at the confidence level cl.

Proposed fix
-        the :attr:`interval` at one standard deviation of the summed event
-        weights, as ``TEfficiency`` computes it from the histograms' contents
+        the :attr:`interval` at the confidence level :attr:`cl` of the summed
+        event weights, as ``TEfficiency`` computes it from the histograms' contents
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In `@src/rootfig/histograms/cutflow.py` around lines 154 - 155, Update the
`efficiency_errors` docstring to say the interval is computed at the confidence
level `cl`, replacing the inaccurate one-standard-deviation description; leave
the implementation unchanged.

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Outside diff comments:
In `@src/rootfig/histograms/cutflow.py`:
- Around line 154-155: Update the `efficiency_errors` docstring to say the
interval is computed at the confidence level `cl`, replacing the inaccurate
one-standard-deviation description; leave the implementation unchanged.

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📒 Files selected for processing (37)
  • CONTRIBUTING.md
  • docs/api.md
  • docs/ecosystem.md
  • docs/plotting.md
  • src/rootfig/__init__.py
  • src/rootfig/_storage.py
  • src/rootfig/api/_common.py
  • src/rootfig/api/_hists.py
  • src/rootfig/api/_panel.py
  • src/rootfig/api/data.py
  • src/rootfig/api/measures.py
  • src/rootfig/api/plots1d.py
  • src/rootfig/api/plots2d.py
  • src/rootfig/api/tables.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/__init__.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/bayesian.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/binomial.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/build.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/comparison.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/cutflow.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/efficiency.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/intervals.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/normalize.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/pipeline.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/prefetch.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/shape.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/stored.py
  • src/rootfig/histograms/systematics.py
  • src/rootfig/io/__init__.py
  • src/rootfig/io/cache.py
  • src/rootfig/io/objects.py
  • src/rootfig/io/sources.py
  • tests/data/error_options.root
  • tests/test_api.py
  • tests/test_batch.py
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@jbeirer
jbeirer merged commit b53b32a into main Sep 27, 2026
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